A world order based on coercion invites backlash. Weaker nations, when oppressed by a single superpower, will band together and use surreptitious methods to disrupt and weaken the hegemon. Civilization itself is a model of the weak uniting against the strong.

Recent global conflicts suggest a shift in international relations where coercive strength is more effective than diplomacy when dealing with superpowers. Examples like China's rare earth threats and Iran's actions in the Strait of Hormuz are teaching other nations that aggressive leverage works.

While a unipolar world led by one's own country is advantageous, a multipolar world with competing powers like the U.S. and China creates a dynamic tension. This competition may force more compromised global decisions, potentially leading to a more balanced, albeit more tense, international system than one dominated by a single unchallenged power.

National security requires a toolbox of military, economic, political, and cultural instruments. The Trump administration has focused almost exclusively on military power, degrading the capacity of other essential tools and leaving the U.S. more isolated on the world stage.

A nation that can no longer get cooperation through seduction and shared values must resort to coercion. Trump's proposed $1.5 trillion military budget is a symptom of this decline, reflecting an empire that must use force or the threat of it to enforce its will on the world stage.

While the U.S. employs aggressive, short-term tactics, China plays a long game. They use economic incentives and a 'friendly' image to win allies, which erodes America's global standing over time as nations seek a less volatile partner.

Trump’s signature strategy of building up military force while simultaneously offering diplomatic solutions creates a coercive environment. While it projects short-term strength, it damages long-term relationships, making allies and adversaries alike view the U.S. as an unpredictable and untrustworthy bully.

Instead of traditional regime change, current U.S. strategy focuses on 'conversion.' This involves creating such favorable economic and diplomatic conditions for adversaries that abandoning hostile ideologies becomes their only rational choice.

Soft power isn't just cultural influence; it is a strategic tool for achieving goals without force. It works by making other nations admire a country's values and aspire to its prosperity, effectively co-opting them to desire the same results, as opposed to coercing them through military or economic threats.