According to investor Joe Edelman, China's main strength is developing new molecules. This means US and European firms will increasingly in-license drugs from China, creating fierce competition for the small US biotechs that traditionally filled this pipeline role for larger pharmaceutical companies.
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Western pharma firms strategically license assets from Chinese biotechs while leaving China rights with the local partner. This leverages China's faster, cheaper clinical development, as the partner tests the molecule in new indications, generating valuable data that de-risks the asset for the global firm at no extra cost.
The "NewCo" model, where a new company is formed around assets licensed from an existing firm, is a key strategy for Western investors to access a deep well of innovation from Chinese companies like Heisco, which are largely unknown in the West but possess broad, innovative pipelines.
China has developed a first-rate biotech effort, enabling U.S. firms to buy or license preclinical assets more efficiently than building them domestically. This creates an arbitrage opportunity, leveraging China's R&D capabilities while relying on U.S. expertise and capital for global commercialization.
Big Pharma's strategy differs by region: they are willing to acquire innovative US biotechs outright but prefer to only license assets from Chinese companies. This is because Chinese assets can be secured at significantly lower valuations without the complexities of a full M&A transaction, creating an exit dilemma for VCs in China.
China is no longer just a low-cost manufacturing hub for biotech. It has become an innovation leader, leveraging regulatory advantages like investigator-initiated trials to gain a significant speed advantage in cutting-edge areas like cell and gene therapy. This shifts the competitive landscape from cost to a race for speed and novel science.
China's biotech infrastructure enables companies to move from discovery to initial human proof-of-concept in under two years for less than $2 million per molecule. This rapid, low-cost development, particularly in new modalities like RNAi, presents a significant competitive threat that many Western innovators underestimate.
Driven by significant government investment, China is rapidly becoming a leader in biotech R&D, licensing, and outsourcing. This shift is a top-of-mind concern for US biotech and pharma executives, with China now involved in a majority of top R&D licensing deals.
Pharmaceutical companies are engaging in lengthy negotiations with US biotech startups while simultaneously exploring cheaper, faster assets in China. This creates negotiation leverage and puts downward pressure on valuations and deal terms for US-based innovators.
Contrary to common belief, a BioCentury analysis revealed that two-thirds of out-licensing deals from Asian innovators were with Western biotechs, not large multinational pharmaceutical corporations. This indicates a significant trend of smaller Western companies actively sourcing innovation from Asia.
The next decade in biotech will prioritize speed and cost, areas where Chinese companies excel. They rapidly and cheaply advance molecules to early clinical trials, attracting major pharma companies to acquire assets that they historically would have sourced from US biotechs. This is reshaping the global competitive landscape.
