Following the success of AlphaFold in predicting protein structures, Demis Hassabis says DeepMind's next grand challenge is creating a full AI simulation of a working cell. This 'virtual cell' would allow researchers to test hypotheses about drugs and diseases millions of times faster than in a physical lab.
Wet lab experiments are slow and expensive, forcing scientists to pursue safer, incremental hypotheses. AI models can computationally test riskier, 'home run' ideas before committing lab resources. This de-risking makes scientists less hesitant to explore breakthrough concepts that could accelerate the field.
Startups and major labs are focusing on "world models," which simulate physical reality, cause, and effect. This is seen as the necessary step beyond text-based LLMs to create agents that can truly understand and interact with the physical world, a key step towards AGI.
The next leap in biotech moves beyond applying AI to existing data. CZI pioneers a model where 'frontier biology' and 'frontier AI' are developed in tandem. Experiments are now designed specifically to generate novel data that will ground and improve future AI models, creating a virtuous feedback loop.
While AI can accelerate the ideation phase of drug discovery, the primary bottleneck remains the slow, expensive, and human-dependent clinical trial process. We are already "drowning in good ideas," so generating more with AI doesn't solve the fundamental constraint of testing them.
The bottleneck for AI in drug development isn't the sophistication of the models but the absence of large-scale, high-quality biological data sets. Without comprehensive data on how drugs interact within complex human systems, even the best AI models cannot make accurate predictions.
CZI's virtual cell models act as a computational "model organism," enabling scientists to run high-risk experiments in silico. This approach dramatically lowers the cost and time required to test novel ideas, encouraging more ambitious research that might otherwise be prohibitive.
The AI-discovered antibiotic Halicin showed no evolved resistance in E. coli after 30 days. This is likely because it hits multiple protein targets simultaneously, a complex property that AI is well-suited to identify and which makes it exponentially harder for bacteria to develop resistance.
Profluent CEO Ali Madani frames the history of medicine (like penicillin) as one of random discovery—finding useful molecules in nature. His company uses AI language models to move beyond this "caveman-like" approach. By designing novel proteins from scratch, they are shifting the paradigm from finding a needle in a haystack to engineering the exact needle required.
A major frustration in genetics is finding 'variants of unknown significance' (VUS)—genetic anomalies with no known effect. AI models promise to simulate the impact of these unique variants on cellular function, moving medicine from reactive diagnostics to truly personalized, predictive health.
Contrary to fears of displacement, AI tools like 'AI co-scientists' amplify human ingenuity. By solving foundational problems (like protein folding) and automating tedious tasks, AI enables more researchers, even junior ones, to tackle more complex, high-level scientific challenges, accelerating discovery.