The sign of a working diversification strategy is having something in your portfolio that you're unhappy with. Chasing winners by selling the laggard is a common mistake that leads to buying high and selling low. The discomfort of holding an underperformer is proof the strategy is functioning as intended, not that it's failing.
The "Liking-Loving Tendency" causes investors to identify personally with their holdings. They ignore faults, favor associated things, and distort facts to maintain positive feelings. This emotional attachment leads them to rationalize bad news and hold deteriorating assets for too long, destroying capital.
To achieve above-average investment returns, one cannot simply follow the crowd. True alpha comes from contrarian thinking—making investments that conventional wisdom deems wrong. Rubenstein notes the primary barrier is psychological: overcoming the innate human desire to be liked and the fear of being told you're 'stupid' by your peers.
To avoid emotional, performance-chasing mistakes, write down your selling criteria in advance and intentionally exclude recent performance from the list. This forces a focus on more rational reasons, such as a broken investment thesis, manager changes, excessive fees, or shifting personal goals, thereby preventing reactionary decisions based on market noise.
BlackRock's CIO of Global Fixed Income argues that unlike equities, fixed income is about consistently getting paid back. The optimal strategy is broad diversification—tilting odds slightly in your favor and repeating it—rather than making concentrated, high-conviction "bravado" bets on specific market segments.
To combat the emotional burden of binary sell-or-hold decisions, use the "Go Havsies" method. Instead of selling a full position, sell half. This simple algorithm diversifies potential outcomes—you benefit if it rises and are protected if it falls—which significantly reduces the psychological pain of regret from making the "wrong" choice.
Investors obsess over outperforming benchmarks like the S&P 500. This is the wrong framework. It's possible to beat the index every quarter and still fail to meet your financial goals. Conversely, you can underperform the index and achieve all your goals. The only metric that matters is progress toward your personal objectives.
Investor Mark Ein argues against sector-specific focus, viewing his broad portfolio (prop tech, sports, etc.) as a key advantage. It enables him to transfer insights and best practices from one industry to another, uncovering opportunities that specialists might miss.
Investors rarely sell a fund for outperforming its benchmark too aggressively, but they should consider it. Research by Vanguard's John Bogle tracked the top 20 funds of each decade and found they almost always became significant underperformers in the following decade, demonstrating the danger of chasing past winners.
Even long-term winning funds will likely underperform their benchmarks in about half of all years. A Vanguard study of funds that beat the market over 15 years found 94% of them still underperformed in at least five of those years. This means selling based on a few years of poor returns is a flawed strategy.
The secret to top-tier long-term results is not achieving the highest returns in any single year. Instead, it's about achieving average returns that can be sustained for an exceptionally long time. This "strategic mediocrity" allows compounding to work its magic, outperforming more volatile strategies over decades.