Get your free personalized podcast brief

We scan new podcasts and send you the top 5 insights daily.

Just as the shift from on-premise to SaaS created a major valuation rerating for software companies, the move to 'agentic AI' will do the same. Companies that successfully become 'agentic' will capture more economic rent, potentially leading to exit multiples higher than the 6-8x revenue seen today.

Related Insights

The rise of agentic coding is creating a "SaaSpocalypse." These agents can migrate data, learn different workflows, and handle integrations, which undermines the core moats of SaaS companies: data switching costs, workflow lock-in, and integration complexity. This makes the high gross margins of SaaS businesses a prime target for disruption.

The software paradigm is shifting beyond SaaS. The new era is 'software as a worker,' where autonomous 'agentic' solutions are embedded in workflows to perform tasks, driving value beyond human-led productivity enhancements and creating new economic advantages.

Satya Nadella suggests a fundamental shift in enterprise software monetization. As autonomous AI agents become prevalent, the value unit will move from the human user ("per seat") to the AI itself. "Agents are the new seats," signaling a future where companies pay for automated tasks and outcomes, not just software access for employees.

AI allows service-based businesses to operate with software-like efficiency and high gross margins (e.g., 75%). This has created a new category, "Service as a Software," causing a major shift where private equity firms now value these service companies similarly to traditional SaaS businesses.

The traditional per-seat SaaS model is becoming a "tax on productivity" in an agent-driven world. As companies buy agents to do work instead of software for humans, the model shifts. Sam Altman's comment that every company is now an API company reflects this move from user-based pricing to value-based, programmatic access.

The idea that AI will kill SaaS is flawed. Instead, SaaS is evolving to integrate "agentic" capabilities. This creates a hybrid model where humans and AI agents collaborate within optimized workflows, delivering more value than either could alone. This fusion expands the market rather than destroying it.

The rise of AI agents enables a move away from traditional per-seat SaaS pricing. Instead of selling access to a tool, entrepreneurs can sell a specific, guaranteed outcome delivered by an agent (e.g., a daily brief of competitor activity), transitioning to an outcome-based revenue model.

SaaS products like Salesforce won't be easily ripped out. The real danger is that new AI agents will operate across all SaaS tools, becoming the primary user interface and capturing the next wave of value. This relegates existing SaaS platforms to a lower, less valuable infrastructure layer.

Contrary to fears of a 'SaaS apocalypse,' AI agents could make platforms more valuable. By removing human limits like learning curves and work hours, agents can use software tools 24/7 at scale. This unlocks immense, previously untapped utility, shifting value from per-seat fees to high-volume consumption revenue.

The fundamental shift from AI isn't about replacing foundational model companies like OpenAI. Instead, AI creates a new technological substrate鈥攑roductized intelligence鈥攖hat will engender an entirely new breed of software companies, marking the end of the traditional SaaS playbook.