The panel suggests AKT inhibitor trials in prostate cancer have been disappointing due to suboptimal biomarker selection (e.g., PTEN IHC). A similar drug in breast cancer showed significant survival benefit when using a more precise NGS-based strategy, indicating a potential path forward if the right patient population is identified genetically.

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The negative ANSA-RAD trial, when contrasted with the positive STAMPEDE trial, demonstrates that patient selection is paramount in adjuvant therapy. The difference in outcomes was driven by risk definition, not the drug. This reinforces that "negative" trials are clinically vital for defining which patient populations do not benefit, preventing widespread overtreatment.

The term "hormone resistance" was misleading. Researchers discovered that even in a castrate state, prostate cancer tumors produce their own testosterone locally. This maintained androgen receptor signaling, proving the disease was still "androgen addicted" and opening the door for new targeted therapies.

The rapid advancement of ARPIs wasn't just a scientific breakthrough. It was a rare convergence of FDA interest in new endpoints, a deeper biological understanding of castration resistance, and intense industry and academic collaboration that created a uniquely fertile ground for innovation.

When a patient has a BRCA2 mutation, clinicians on the panel view it as such a dominant predictive biomarker that they would prioritize a PARP inhibitor-based triplet regimen. This single genetic finding often outweighs other clinical factors or even the potential addition of docetaxel in treatment decisions.

Data from the CAPItello trial showed a significant number of patients with PTEN deficiency experienced radiological progression without a corresponding PSA increase. This challenges the standard reliance on PSA for monitoring in high-risk prostate cancer and suggests a need for more frequent, personalized imaging protocols to detect progression earlier.

Experts believe molecular tests like Decipher and PTEN status are superior to simply counting bone lesions for guiding treatment. While not yet standard practice for all decisions, this represents a significant shift towards using underlying tumor biology to determine therapy, like adding docetaxel.

Even when an ARPI is no longer effective as a standalone therapy, continuing it may be beneficial. By maintaining pressure on the androgen receptor pathway, the drug can upregulate downstream targets like PSMA, potentially enhancing the efficacy of subsequent PSMA-targeted therapies like radioligands or ADCs.

The FDA is predicted to approve new PARP inhibitors from trials like AMPLITUDE only for BRCA-mutated patients, restricting use to where data is strongest. This contrasts with the EMA's potential for broader approvals or denials. This highlights the diverging regulatory philosophies that create different drug access landscapes in the US and Europe.

Clinical trials combining potent ARPIs like abiraterone and enzalutamide have consistently failed. Once the androgen receptor pathway is maximally suppressed by one agent, adding another with a similar mechanism provides no further clinical advantage, much like hammering a nail that is already flush with the wood.

Three 2025 trials (AMPLITUDE, PSMA-addition, CAPItello) introduced personalized therapy for metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer. However, significant benefits were confined to narrow subgroups, like BRCA-mutated patients. This suggests future success depends on even more stringent patient selection, not broader application of targeted agents.

AKT Inhibition's Future in Prostate Cancer Hinges on Adopting NGS-Based Biomarkers | RiffOn