Current bladder cancer trials often fail to differentiate between patients with primary resistance (never responded) versus acquired resistance (responded, then progressed). Adopting this distinction, common in lung cancer research, could help identify patient subgroups more likely to benefit from immunotherapy re-challenge and refine trial eligibility criteria.

Related Insights

The trial's 57.1% pathologic complete response (pCR) rate is deceptively conservative. It categorized patients who responded well but declined surgery as non-responders, suggesting the treatment's true biological efficacy is even higher than the already impressive reported figure.

In adjuvant bladder cancer trials, ctDNA status is both prognostic and predictive. Patients with positive ctDNA after surgery are at high risk of relapse but benefit from immune checkpoint inhibitors. Conversely, ctDNA-negative patients have a lower risk and derive no benefit, making ctDNA a critical tool to avoid unnecessary, toxic therapy.

Developers often test novel agents in late-line settings because the control arm is weaker, increasing the statistical chance of success. However, this strategy may doom effective immunotherapies by testing them in biologically hostile, resistant tumors, masking their true potential.

While circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is a powerful prognostic marker, it is not yet part of the formal "clinical complete response" definition for bladder-sparing trials. Experts lack data on its ability to predict the superficial, non-muscle invasive relapses common in this setting.

An expert argues forcefully that the PD-L1 biomarker should be "ditched" in bladder cancer. Citing its repeated failure to predict overall survival benefit across multiple major trials, it is deemed an oversimplified and unreliable tool that leads to both over- and under-treatment of patients.

For patients who previously received immunotherapy (IO), a recurrence more than 12 months after completing treatment makes re-challenging with an IO agent a reasonable option. The likelihood of benefit is lower if the recurrence is within 6-12 months and minimal if under 6 months.

In mixed histology bladder cancers treated with standard urothelial therapy, the variant component (e.g., squamous) is hypothesized to be the source of the resistant clone that emerges after treatment. This suggests post-progression biopsies are key to understanding resistance.

In high-risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC), trials like CREST and POTOMAC show adding a systemic immune checkpoint inhibitor to BCG therapy introduces significant toxicity. The benefit is primarily in local control, which may not justify the risk, especially with other effective intravesical options available.

Despite data from kidney cancer showing immunotherapy re-challenge is often ineffective, oncologists admit to using it in urothelial cancer. This highlights a clinical conflict where the desire to use a powerful drug class outweighs the lack of supporting evidence, especially in specific, confusing patient scenarios.

The success of new treatments like immunotherapy and ADCs leads to more patients achieving a deep response. This high efficacy makes patients question the necessity of a radical cystectomy, a life-altering surgery, creating an urgent need for data-driven, bladder-sparing protocols.

Bladder Cancer Trials Should Distinguish Between Primary and Acquired Immunotherapy Resistance | RiffOn