Despite scientific breakthroughs and better technology, the cost per approved drug has steadily increased over the last 60 years. This phenomenon, the reverse of Moore's Law, is called Eroom's Law and highlights a fundamental productivity problem in the biopharma industry, with costs approaching $1B+ per successful drug.

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Drug developers often operate under a hyper-conservative perception of FDA requirements, avoiding novel approaches even when regulators might encourage them. This anticipatory compliance, driven by risk aversion, becomes a greater constraint than the regulations themselves, slowing down innovation and increasing costs.

While the FDA is often blamed for high trial costs, a major culprit is the consolidated Clinical Research Organization (CRO) market. These entrenched players lack incentives to adopt modern, cost-saving technologies, creating a structural bottleneck that prevents regulatory modernization from translating into cheaper and faster trials.

A significant portion of biotech's high costs stems from its "artisanal" nature, where each company develops bespoke digital workflows and data structures. This inefficiency arises because startups are often structured for acquisition after a single clinical success, not for long-term, scalable operations.

The biotech industry recently endured its own "dot-com bust." Post-COVID hype gave way to investor impatience with the sector's fundamental realities: it takes over 10 years and massive capital ($200B/year industry-wide) to get a drug approved, leading to a sharp market correction.

The process of testing drugs in humans—clinical development—is a massive, under-studied bottleneck, accounting for 70% of drug development costs. Despite its importance, there is surprisingly little public knowledge, academic research, or even basic documentation on how to improve this crucial stage.

The FDA now allows a single, well-designed pivotal trial instead of the traditional two. This reform significantly cuts costs by $100M-$300M and shortens development timelines, enabling companies to test twice as many potential drugs with the same capital.

Unlike software startups that can "fail fast" and pivot cheaply, a single biotech clinical program costs tens of millions. This high cost of failure means the industry values experienced founders who have learned from past mistakes, a direct contrast to Silicon Valley's youth-centric culture.

A-muto's CEO argues that shaving months off discovery isn't the real prize. The massive cost in drug development comes from late-stage clinical failures. By selecting highly disease-specific targets upfront, their platform aims to reduce the high attrition rate in clinical trials, which is the true driver of cost and delay.

A massive disconnect exists where scientific breakthroughs are accelerating, yet the biotech market is in a downturn, with many companies trading below cash. This paradox highlights structural and economic failures within the industry, rather than a lack of scientific progress. The core question is why the business is collapsing while the technology is exploding.