AI's impact on coding is unfolding in stages. Phase 1 was autocomplete (Copilot). We're now in Phase 2, defined by interactive agents where developers orchestrate tasks with prompts. Phase 3 will be true automation, where agents independently handle complete, albeit simpler, development workflows without direct human guidance.

The most significant productivity gains come from applying AI to every stage of development, including research, planning, product marketing, and status updates. Limiting AI to just code generation misses the larger opportunity to automate the entire engineering process.

The vision for Codex extends beyond a simple coding assistant. It's conceptualized as a "software engineering teammate" that participates in the entire lifecycle—from ideation and planning to validation and maintenance. This framing elevates the product from a utility to a collaborative partner.

Future coding interfaces will move beyond read-only chat logs. They will treat the AI conversation as an editable 'multi-buffer'—a new type of document that aggregates code snippets from across a project. This will allow developers to directly manipulate code within the conversational flow itself.

AI coding assistants won't make fundamental skills obsolete. Instead, they act as a force multiplier that separates engineers. Great engineers use AI to become exceptional by augmenting their deep understanding, while mediocre engineers who rely on it blindly will fall further behind.

The evolution from AI autocomplete to chat is reaching its next phase: parallel agents. Replit's CEO Amjad Masad argues the next major productivity gain will come not from a single, better agent, but from environments where a developer manages tens of agents working simultaneously on different features.

AI acts as a massive force multiplier for software development. By using AI agents for coding and code review, with humans providing high-level direction and final approval, a two-person team can achieve the output of a much larger engineering organization.

As AI writes most of the code, the highest-leverage human activity will shift from reviewing pull requests to reviewing the AI's research and implementation plans. Collaborating on the plan provides a narrative journey of the upcoming changes, allowing for high-level course correction before hundreds of lines of bad code are ever generated.

To effectively interact with the world and use a computer, an AI is most powerful when it can write code. OpenAI's thesis is that even agents for non-technical users will be "coding agents" under the hood, as code is the most robust and versatile way for AI to perform tasks.