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When building an AI-enabled service for a mature market like accounting, customer demand is a given. The core business risk shifts entirely from sales and marketing to engineering. The key question becomes: can you automate enough of the manual service delivery to achieve venture-scale gross margins?
Industries with historically low software adoption (like trial law or dentistry) are now viable markets. Instead of selling a tool, AI startups are selling an outcome—the automation of a specific labor role. This shifts the value proposition from a software expense to a direct labor cost replacement.
Early-stage companies don't want to buy another piece of software; they want a problem solved. Quanta succeeded by providing a complete accounting service ("the work to be done"), which is what customers truly valued, using that as the wedge to build its underlying automation platform.
The guest argues that a specific AI vertical is underinvested: automating administrative knowledge work that is fundamental to how companies get paid. These tools have high revenue durability as they become core financial infrastructure, yet receive less VC attention than other AI categories.
Founders are stuck in a SaaS mindset, selling tools to existing service providers. The bigger opportunity is to build new, AI-first service companies (e.g., accounting, legal) that use AI to deliver a superior end-to-end solution directly to customers.
VCs have traditionally ignored the massive $16T services sector due to its low margins. AI automation can fundamentally change this by eliminating repetitive tasks, allowing these companies to achieve margin profiles similar to software businesses, thus making the sector newly viable for venture investment.
The ideal industry for an AI roll-up is not one that can be fully automated. If automation exceeds 70-80%, a pure software solution from an incumbent like Microsoft will likely win. The strategy thrives where a human services component remains essential but can be significantly augmented by AI.
Avoid trendy, saturated markets. Instead, focus on stable, 'boring' industries that are slow to innovate and still rely on manual processes. These markets are ripe for disruption, have less competition, and typically offer higher margins for AI solutions.
Thrive Capital invested in an AI-powered accounting firm, not an accounting AI software tool. Their thesis is that in some industries, the service provider who uses AI to become hyper-efficient will capture more value than software vendors selling tools to a fragmented customer base. This is a bet on the business model, not just the technology.
Businesses previously considered non-venture scale due to service-based models and low margins, like Managed Service Providers (MSPs), are becoming investable. By building with an AI-first core, these companies can achieve the high margins and scalability required for venture returns, blurring the line between service and product.
Traditionally, service businesses lack scalability for VC. But AI startups are adopting a 'manual first, automate later' approach. They deliver high-touch services to gain traction, while simultaneously building AI to automate 90%+ of the work, eventually achieving software-like margins and growth.