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The hyper-digitalization driven by AI will create a "barbell" effect, sparking a massive resurgence in analog businesses. As digital experiences become commonplace and untrustworthy, consumers will place a premium on physical retail, live events, and tangible goods.
As consumers become inundated with AI and digital experiences, a strong counter-trend is emerging. This creates venture-scale opportunities for companies focused on tangible hardware, 'dumb' phones, and real-world services that facilitate human connection offline, as demonstrated by Greylock's investment in a kids' landline.
Endeavor CEO Ari Emanuel calls his focus on live events "the opposite of an AI bet." The logic is that as AI makes digital content abundant, the scarcity and value of real-world, in-person human experiences will skyrocket. This is a powerful counter-narrative that leverages the AI trend to its advantage.
As technology like AI makes the digital world more saturated and inauthentic, people will increasingly crave genuine, in-person interactions and experiences like live events, local gatherings, and hobbies.
As AI drives the marginal cost of digital content to zero, unique, in-person events become increasingly valuable. This is a strategic bet on the enduring human need for social connection and status, which cannot be digitally replicated. Value shifts from the digital to the physical.
Marketing is polarizing to two extremes: hyper-scalable, AI-driven digital content and deeply personal, analog experiences like pop-ups or community events. The middle ground—print, billboards, banner ads—is becoming obsolete.
Instead of a linear progression toward digital, retail is polarizing. The future involves both extreme technological integration (AI, in-store live shopping studios) and a resurgence of analog, human-centric experiences as consumers fight digital fatigue. Retailers must invest in both ends of this spectrum to succeed.
As AI makes code, content, and design infinitely available, scarcity shifts to what AI cannot replicate: creative judgment, original "weird" thinking, and in-person physical experiences. This creates an opportunity for premium, human-centric brands to market themselves as "AI-Free," similar to organic food certifications.
As AI saturates digital life, its antithesis becomes more valuable. Gary Vaynerchuk coins the term "old school AI"—Analog and Intentional—to describe human-first actions like handwritten notes or personal gestures that create powerful, unscalable connections and stand out in a digital world.
Society is polarizing into two extremes: hyper-digital (AI) and hyper-analog (in-person events). The value of real-life experiences like conferences and pop-up shops will soar, creating a "barbell" effect where the undifferentiated middle ground disappears.
Society is polarizing into two dominant modes. One end is hyper-technology and AI. The other is a massive resurgence of analog, old-school activities like festivals, door-knocking, and in-person connection. This creates a huge opportunity for high-touch, human-centric businesses to thrive.