Previously, data analysis required deep proficiency in tools like Excel. Now, AI platforms handle the technical manipulation, making the ability to ask insightful business questions—not technical skill—the most valuable asset for generating insights.

The stock market is a 'hyperobject'—a phenomenon too vast and complex to be fully understood through data alone. Top investors navigate it by blending analysis with deep intuition, honed by recognizing patterns from countless low-fidelity signals, similar to ancient Polynesian navigators.

Investors don't need deep domain expertise to vet opportunities in complex industries. By breaking a problem down to its fundamentals—such as worker safety, project costs, and labor shortages in construction—the value of a solution becomes self-evident, enabling confident investment decisions.

Vested's investment model gains an edge from proprietary data on employee sentiment and behavior. Signals like unsolicited negative comments, willingness to counter on price, or selling more shares than necessary provide unique insights into a company's health that traditional financial analysis lacks, forming a data moat.

Unlike typical software companies that build addictive products or simply fulfill requests, Palantir's approach is to anticipate and build what its partners *ought* to want in the future. This radical, value-driven strategy builds deep trust and creates an indispensable long-term position with the client.

During a fundamental technology shift like the current AI wave, traditional market size analysis is pointless because new markets and behaviors are being created. Investors should de-emphasize TAM and instead bet on founders who have a clear, convicted vision for how the world will change.

The true value of prediction markets lies beyond speculation. By requiring "skin in the game," they aggregate the wisdom of crowds into a reliable forecasting tool, creating a source of truth that is more accurate than traditional polling. The trading is the work that produces the information.

Palantir's product strategy is "more artistic than science." Instead of reacting to current market demands, the company builds solutions that tap into deep, misunderstood societal trends, much like an artist captures the future zeitgeist. This approach means creating products years before their relevance becomes obvious.