Unlike a decade ago, today's most transformative, high-growth companies like OpenAI and Anthropic are choosing to remain private for longer. This trend concentrates the highest potential returns in private markets, making it difficult for public investors to 'own the future' of technology.

Public markets, fearing AI's disruption, value SaaS companies at low single-digit revenue multiples. Simultaneously, private VCs, driven by upside potential, fund early-stage AI startups at hundreds of times ARR, creating a massive valuation disconnect between the two markets.

A significant disconnect exists between private and public AI markets. While private AI labs like OpenAI and Anthropic are reporting their best growth ever, public semiconductor and AI stocks are falling. This suggests public markets have priced in perfection and are now correcting, while private sentiment remains extremely bullish.

In a market downturn, public AI companies face mark-to-market stock pressure and employee anxiety. As a private player whose public partners' valuations depend on it, OpenAI could be insulated from this volatility, giving it a stability advantage.

A significant market disconnect exists where public SaaS companies are selling off on fears of AI disruption, while venture capitalists are aggressively funding new AI-native SaaS startups at a record pace, suggesting two completely different outlooks on the future of software.

An a16z partner highlights a major disconnect where fewer than five public software companies are growing over 30%, while private AI giants like OpenAI and Anthropic are adding massive revenue, shifting the growth focus to private ventures.

The hype and potential bubble in AI are concentrated in private markets, evidenced by vendor financing and easy credit for any AI-linked venture. In contrast, public markets are viewed as more realistic, and the high concentration in top tech stocks is not statistically correlated with poor forward-looking returns.

The current Mag 7's performance is faltering as investors question their AI positioning. The next generation of market-driving giants will likely be today's top private companies like OpenAI and Anthropic. Outperforming the index will necessitate exposure to these private market assets.

Unlike previous tech eras, today's top AI companies (e.g., OpenAI, SpaceX) are achieving valuations in the hundreds of billions to over a trillion dollars while still private. This unprecedented scale places them among the world's largest companies before they even enter public markets.