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Cobra is building AI agents to automate complex tasks, shifting from a tool that assists users to one that performs the work. Citing a Sequoia model, the founder believes AI will convert the ~$6 spent on services (consultants, implementation) for every $1 of software into direct software revenue, dramatically increasing their market.
As AI moves from co-pilot to autopilot, companies can sell outcomes directly, not just tools. This creates an opportunity to build a "software company that masquerades as a service business," capturing the much larger services budget (a 6:1 ratio to software) while maintaining software-like margins by leveraging AI.
The traditional SaaS model provides customers with a tool to do a job. With agentic AI, companies can now sell the completed job as a service. This represents a fundamental shift in business models, where the value is the direct outcome, not the software.
Joe Lonsdale advises established SaaS companies to go on offense with AI. Instead of merely defending their core product, they should build AI agents on top of their platforms to automate customer workflows. This creates new, high-margin revenue streams by helping customers reduce headcount and increase efficiency.
Unlike SaaS which sells to limited software budgets (e.g., 1% of revenue), vertical AI agents automate core business functions. This allows them to tap into much larger operational and labor budgets. Companies can capture 4-10% of a customer's total spend by replacing expensive human-led tasks like customer support.
The business model is shifting from selling software to selling outcomes. Instead of creating a tool and inviting users, create pre-trained agents that perform valuable work. Then, invite companies to a workspace where this 'team' of AI employees is ready to start delivering value immediately.
The success of new AI startups is driven by a desire among managers to replace human-led processes with autonomous agents. Customers don't want AI to make their teams slightly better; they want an agent that eliminates the need for the team entirely. This is a demand most incumbent software companies misunderstand and fail to serve.
The rise of AI agents enables a move away from traditional per-seat SaaS pricing. Instead of selling access to a tool, entrepreneurs can sell a specific, guaranteed outcome delivered by an agent (e.g., a daily brief of competitor activity), transitioning to an outcome-based revenue model.
The transition from AI as a productivity tool (co-pilot) to an autonomous agent integrated into team workflows represents a quantum leap in value creation. This shift from efficiency enhancement to completing material tasks independently is where massive revenue opportunities lie.
The business model for AI agents fundamentally shifts the value proposition from selling a tool (license) to selling an outcome (automated work). This allows vendors to tap into operational or labor budgets, not just IT budgets, unlocking a new price-for-value equation and exponentially larger contract sizes.
Countering the idea of a zero-sum SaaS market, Box CEO Aaron Levie argues that AI agents create net-new value. By performing complex knowledge work on existing data (like analyzing contracts), agents allow software platforms to capture budget previously allocated to human labor, thus expanding the total addressable market.