While outright fraud in government spending is low (under 1%), Buttigieg argues the real financial drain is waste from inefficiency. He points to project cost escalations and procedural roadblocks as far more significant sources of wasted taxpayer money than criminal fraud.
A bureaucracy can function like a tumor. It disguises itself from the "immune system" of public accountability by using noble language ("it's for the kids"). It then redirects resources (funding) to ensure its own growth, even if it's harming the larger organism of society.
According to James Burnham's "Iron Law of Oligarchy," systems eventually serve their rulers. In government, deficit spending and subsidies are used to secure votes and donor funding, meaning leaders are incentivized to maintain the flow of money, even if it's wasteful or fraudulent, to ensure their own political survival.
Arguing to redirect inefficient government spending towards populist policies like free buses is a trap. It doubles down on a broken system by replacing one form of poor allocation with another, ultimately accelerating economic decline rather than fixing the fundamental problems.
Buttigieg argues the government's essential function is investing in foundational, high-risk ideas like the internet or basic research. These ventures have massive potential but don't offer the short-term returns or clear monetization paths required by the private sector due to market failures.
The immense regulatory complexity in U.S. healthcare creates an estimated $500 billion "tax" of administrative bloat. The non-obvious opportunity is that by using AI to eliminate this waste, the savings could be redirected to fund expanded patient care, rather than just being captured as profit.
A government can artificially inflate its jobs numbers and GDP by going on a hiring spree for bureaucratic roles. This growth is illusory, or "phantom," as it's funded by printing money and doesn't contribute to the productive economy. It creates positive short-term metrics but fosters long-term inefficiency.
The slow deployment of the $7B federal EV charging program wasn't a failure but a deliberate choice. Buttigieg's team prioritized state-level program design and mandating US-made chargers, accepting a longer timeline to foster local innovation and a domestic supply chain.
A significant source of waste stems from "zombie payments"—recurring government funds that continue indefinitely without review. When the official who authorized the payment leaves, retires, or dies, there is often no system to shut it off, creating a perpetual drain of funds to companies or individuals who rarely report it.
Unlike the private sector, government often focuses on offering employment rather than driving innovation. This inefficiency creates a buffer against AI-driven job cuts, making public sector roles paradoxically resilient, despite being a catastrophic waste of taxpayer money.
Government procurement is slow because every scandal or instance of fraud leads to new rules and oversight. The public demands this accountability, which in turn creates the very bureaucracy that citizens and vendors complain about.