Dan Siroker outlines a three-part roadmap for achieving mind emulation: 1) a complete brain map (connectome), now feasible by 2040; 2) sufficient, cheap compute power, estimated to be ready by 2047; and 3) rich behavioral data, which the Limitless pendant is designed to capture.

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The performance ceiling for non-invasive Brain-Computer Interfaces (BCIs) is rising dramatically, not from better sensors, but from advanced AI. New models can extract high-fidelity signals from noisy data collected outside the skull, potentially making surgical implants like Neuralink unnecessary for sophisticated use cases.

Human cognition is a full-body experience, not just a brain function. Current AIs are 'disembodied brains,' fundamentally limited by their lack of physical interaction with the world. Integrating AI into robotics is the necessary next step toward more holistic intelligence.

Startups and major labs are focusing on "world models," which simulate physical reality, cause, and effect. This is seen as the necessary step beyond text-based LLMs to create agents that can truly understand and interact with the physical world, a key step towards AGI.

While current brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) are for medical patients, the timeline for healthy individuals to augment their brains is rapidly approaching. A child who is five years old today might see the first healthy human augmentations before they graduate high school, signaling a near-term, transformative shift for society.

Silicon Valley insiders, including former Google CEO Eric Schmidt, believe AI capable of improving itself without human instruction is just 2-4 years away. This shift in focus from the abstract concept of superintelligence to a specific research goal signals an imminent acceleration in AI capabilities and associated risks.

The ambitious goal of mind emulation is funded by a practical, revenue-generating product—the Limitless pendant. This mirrors SpaceX's strategy, where the profitable Starlink service funds the long-term mission to Mars. It's a pragmatic model for sustaining a 100-year vision with a for-profit company.

A "frontier interface" is one where the interaction model is completely unknown. Historically, from light pens to cursors to multi-touch, the physical input mechanism has dictated the entire scope of what a computer can do. Brain-computer interfaces represent the next fundamental shift, moving beyond physical manipulation.

While today's computers cannot achieve AGI, it is not theoretically impossible. Creating a generally intelligent system will require a new physical substrate—likely biological or chemical—that can replicate the brain's enormous, dynamic configurational space, which silicon architecture cannot.

DeepMind's Shane Legg argues that human intelligence is not the upper limit because the brain is constrained by biology (20-watt power, slow electrochemical signals). Data centers have orders of magnitude advantages in power, bandwidth, and signal speed, making superhuman AI a physical certainty.

Shane Legg, a pioneer in the field, maintains his original 2009 prediction that there is a 50/50 probability of achieving "minimal AGI" by 2028. He defines this as an AI agent capable of performing the cognitive tasks of a typical human.