Australia's massive $4T pension system has structural biases towards internal management and passive investing. This has led to a slower adoption of alternative strategies, creating a less efficient market where specialized managers like Regal Partners can generate significant alpha.
Contrary to conventional wisdom, the massive flow of capital into passive indexes and short-term systematic strategies has reduced the number of actors focused on long-term fundamentals. This creates price dislocations and volatility, offering alpha for patient investors.
Daniel Gladys argues that as passive investing grows, fewer participants focus on fundamentals. This widens the gap between a stock's price and its intrinsic value, creating a favorable environment for disciplined value investors who can identify these overlooked opportunities.
Contrary to popular belief, the market may be getting less efficient. The dominance of indexing, quant funds, and multi-manager pods—all with short time horizons—creates dislocations. This leaves opportunities for long-term investors to buy valuable assets that are neglected because their path to value creation is uncertain.
A diversified alternatives manager gains a significant advantage by seeing pricing across public equity, private equity, debt, and royalties simultaneously. This cross-asset visibility allows them to identify the best risk-adjusted return for any given opportunity, choosing to structure a royalty instead of buying equity, for example.
The central task for capital allocators is to identify investment managers with a proven, durable edge—be it in sourcing, operations, or strategy—that allows them to consistently capture alpha in markets that are otherwise becoming more efficient.
The primary decision-makers for mass-market 401(k) plans are often HR or finance teams, not investors. To shield their companies from employee lawsuits, they have historically prioritized funds with the lowest fees, creating a massive structural barrier for higher-fee alternative investments to gain traction.
Nations with high savings rates and small populations, such as Canada and Australia, face a structural challenge: their domestic markets are too small to absorb their own capital. This makes them inherently reliant on the deep, liquid U.S. markets to deploy funds from their pension and superannuation systems.
Regal Partners generates its edge not by participating in syndicated deals, but by originating them directly, like an "original equipment manufacturer" (OEM). This "first call" position in areas like IPOs and agricultural debt allows them to influence pricing and structure, creating inherent alpha.
The dominance of low-cost index funds means active managers cannot compete in liquid, efficient markets. Survival depends on creating strategies in areas Vanguard can't easily replicate, such as illiquid micro-caps, niche geographies, or complex sectors that require specialized data and analysis.
The dominance of passive investing (~65% of the market) and the decline of sell-side research have created a structural inefficiency in small-cap stocks ($500M-$2B). With fewer active managers doing the work, valuations in this segment are extremely attractive, creating significant opportunities for diligent investors.