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Viewing China's rise in AI as a recent surge is shortsighted. For most of history, China has been a leading global civilization. Its recent period of technological lag was an anomaly, making its current strength a predictable reversion to the historical mean, not a new phenomenon.

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China's national strategy is deeply rooted in its "century of humiliation," where technological inferiority led to foreign domination. This historical trauma drives its non-negotiable goal to never again be reliant on foreign powers for critical technologies like AI and semiconductors.

For Chinese policymakers, AI is more than a productivity tool; it represents a crucial opportunity to escape the middle-income trap. They are betting that leadership in AI can fuel the innovation needed to transition from a labor-intensive economy to a developed one, avoiding the stagnation that has plagued other emerging markets.

China's greatest asset in the AI race is its human capital. It produces the world's largest number of STEM graduates, creating a deep talent pool of engineers and scientists that makes it a formidable, long-term competitor to the United States.

While the West anticipates AI could generate an unprecedented 10% GDP growth, this figure is not new to China, which saw similar or higher growth rates multiple times through industrialization. This historical context suggests China may view AI's economic potential differently, having already experienced such rapid expansion through other means.

Viewing China as a "rising" power is incorrect; it's a "reascending" one. For 70% of the years since 1500, China had the world's largest GDP. Its current trajectory is a return to its historical dominance, a framing that fundamentally alters the understanding of its global ambitions.

The US is technologically ahead in AI, but its biggest risk is self-sabotage due to widespread pessimism. In contrast, China's public is overwhelmingly optimistic about AI's benefits, creating a powerful tailwind for adoption and innovation without the regulatory friction seen in the West.

While the US focuses on creating the most advanced AI models, China's real strength may be its proven ability to orchestrate society-wide technology adoption. Deep integration and widespread public enthusiasm for AI could ultimately provide a more durable competitive advantage.

China's 15th Five-Year Plan reveals a new national identity centered on artificial intelligence. With plans to integrate AI across 90% of its economy by 2030, China is using the technology to drive productivity, counter demographic headwinds, and cement its status as a tech-driven authoritarian state.

While the West may lead in AI models, China's key strategic advantage is its ability to 'embody' AI in hardware. Decades of de-industrialization in the U.S. have left a gap, while China's manufacturing dominance allows it to integrate AI into cars, drones, and robots at a scale the West cannot currently match.

Societal narratives around technology are shaped more by recent material conditions than deep-seated cultural history. China's optimism about AI mirrors 1950s America because its citizens have experienced decades of continuous economic improvement, making abstract civilizational theories less predictive.

China's AI Prowess Is a Return to Its Historical Norm as a World Power | RiffOn