Unlike cloud or mobile, which incumbents initially ignored, AI adoption is consensus. Startups can't rely on incumbents being slow. The new 'white space' for disruption exists in niche markets large companies still deem too small to enter.

Economist Bernd Hobart argues that large enterprises are too risk-averse for early AI adoption. The winning go-to-market strategy, similar to Stripe's, is for AI-native companies to sell to smaller, agile customers first. They can then grow with these customers, mature their product, and eventually sell the proven solution back to the legacy giants.

The historical advantage of being first to market has evaporated. It once took years for large companies to clone a successful startup, but AI development tools now enable clones to be built in weeks. This accelerates commoditization, meaning a company's competitive edge is now measured in months, not years, demanding a much faster pace of innovation.

WorkOS CEO Michael Grinich observes that AI products inherently touch sensitive corporate data, forcing them to become 'enterprise-ready' in their first or second year. This is a much faster timeline than traditional SaaS companies, which often took over five years to move upmarket.

Unlike mobile or internet shifts that created openings for startups, AI is an "accelerating technology." Large companies can integrate it quickly, closing the competitive window for new entrants much faster than in previous platform shifts. The moat is no longer product execution but customer insight.

An enterprise CIO confirms that once a company invests time training a generative AI solution, the cost to switch vendors becomes prohibitive. This means early-stage AI startups can build a powerful moat simply by being the first vendor to get implemented and trained.

In the current, rapidly evolving AI market, the long-term winners are not yet clear. CIOs should de-risk their budgets by experimenting with more vendors, using shorter-term contracts, and prioritizing products that can be tested and prove value quickly.

CIOs report that the unbudgeted 'soft costs' of implementing AI—training, onboarding, and business process change—are the highest they've ever seen. This extreme cost and effort will make companies highly reluctant to switch AI vendors, creating strong defensibility and lock-in for the platforms chosen during this initial wave.

For investors and builders, the key variable isn't the final market penetration of AI. It's the timeline. A 3-year adoption curve requires a vastly different strategy, team, and funding model than a 30-year one, making speed the most critical metric for strategic planning.