Despite pervasive AI marketing at JPM—on billboards, in presentations, and even on Uber apps—the industry has yet to see a fully AI-designed drug reach approval. This gap highlights a technology hype cycle where branding and perceived necessity are currently outpacing proven, real-world outcomes in drug discovery.
Companies run numerous disconnected AI pilots in R&D, commercial, and other silos, each with its own metrics. This fragmented approach prevents enterprise-wide impact and disconnects AI investment from C-suite goals like share price or revenue growth. The core problem is strategic, not technical.
Tech-focused venture firms are finding their AI investment thesis fails in biotech. Despite massive paper profits in tech AI, their biotech AI portfolios show negative returns. This is because AI has yet to solve the complex biological bottlenecks of drug development, particularly in clinical trials, which remain slow and costly.
In high-stakes fields like pharma, AI's ability to generate more ideas (e.g., drug targets) is less valuable than its ability to aid in decision-making. Physical constraints on experimentation mean you can't test everything. The real need is for tools that help humans evaluate, prioritize, and gain conviction on a few key bets.
While AI holds long-term promise for molecule discovery, its most significant near-term impact in biotech is operational. The key benefits today are faster clinical trial recruitment and more efficient regulatory submissions. The revolutionary science of AI-driven drug design is still in its earliest stages.
While AI can accelerate the ideation phase of drug discovery, the primary bottleneck remains the slow, expensive, and human-dependent clinical trial process. We are already "drowning in good ideas," so generating more with AI doesn't solve the fundamental constraint of testing them.
Many pharma companies allow various departments to run numerous, disconnected AI pilots without a central strategy. This lack of strategic alignment means most pilots fail to move beyond the proof-of-concept stage, with 85% yielding no measurable return on investment.
Marketers observe a significant disconnect between the sophisticated AI workflows discussed online and the more basic applications happening inside companies, even at the CMO level. This highlights the need for practical, real-world examples over theoretical hype.
While AI-driven drug discovery is the ultimate goal, Titus argues its most practical value is in improving business efficiency. This includes automating tasks like literature reviews, paper drafting, and procurement, freeing up scientists' time for high-value work like experimental design and interpretation.
The bottleneck for AI in drug development isn't the sophistication of the models but the absence of large-scale, high-quality biological data sets. Without comprehensive data on how drugs interact within complex human systems, even the best AI models cannot make accurate predictions.
There is a significant gap between how companies talk about using AI and their actual implementation. While many leaders claim to be "AI-driven," real-world application is often limited to superficial tasks like social media content, not deep, transformative integration into core business processes.