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  1. TBPN
  2. History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz
History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz

TBPN · Mar 9, 2026

TBPN covers the oil crisis's impact on AI, Sundar Pichai's $692M deal, the rise of AI agents, and new VC bets on hard tech and services.

Target Outsourcing Markets to Build Defensible "Autopilot" AI Companies

Startups building AI agents to automate work should first target outsourced services. It is easier to win business by swapping an existing third-party vendor with a ready budget than it is to persuade a company to undergo internal reorganization and headcount reduction.

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz thumbnail

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz

TBPN·2 months ago

Strait of Hormuz Blockade Is a 4x Larger Supply Shock Than Prior Oil Crises

The 20 million barrels of oil flowing daily through the Strait of Hormuz represent 20% of global supply. A blockade constitutes a disruption four times larger than the Iranian Revolution or Yom Kippur War embargoes, with no simple replacement.

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz thumbnail

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz

TBPN·2 months ago

Banning US Oil Exports Would Cripple Domestic Refineries

The US primarily produces light crude oil, but its refineries are configured for heavier crude. The country exports its light crude and imports heavy crude to match its refining capacity. An export ban would create a massive mismatch and strand domestic production.

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz thumbnail

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz

TBPN·2 months ago

The Next Trillion-Dollar Company Will Sell Outcomes, Not SaaS Tools

Selling software tools puts companies in direct competition with ever-improving foundation models. Sequoia Capital's Julien Bek argues the defensible play is to build a "software business that masquerades as a services firm," selling completed work and capturing the larger services market.

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz thumbnail

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz

TBPN·2 months ago

Debt Financing Is the Smart Play for Profitable SaaS Companies Pivoting to AI

Intercom raised $250M in debt to fund its AI expansion. For a high-growth, profitable company, debt is far less dilutive than equity, costing an estimated tenth of the price to shareholders. It is an underutilized tool for mature tech companies to finance new growth.

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz thumbnail

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz

TBPN·2 months ago

The Goal of Mind Uploading Is a "Continuous Transfer," Not a Digital Copy

Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross argues the ideal path to mind uploading avoids the philosophical "copy problem." Instead of a one-time scan, he envisions a gradual process of replacing individual brain cells with substrate-independent equivalents, ensuring a continuous, uninterrupted transfer of consciousness.

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz thumbnail

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz

TBPN·2 months ago

Underutilized Canadian Resources Offer Major US Energy Security Opportunity

Energy expert Alex Epstein argues the U.S. is "sleeping on Canada" as an energy partner. Canada has vast, untapped oil sands, uranium, and other resources with a friendly government. Strengthening this partnership is a huge, neglected opportunity for North American energy independence.

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz thumbnail

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz

TBPN·2 months ago

AI Will Merge Sales, Marketing, and Service into a Single "Customer Agent"

The siloed functions of customer-facing teams are an artifact of human limitations. Intercom CEO Owen McCabe argues AI will enable a unified agent to manage the entire customer lifecycle seamlessly, providing one continuous, context-aware conversation from initial contact to support and upselling.

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz thumbnail

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz

TBPN·2 months ago

Microsoft's Copilot Uses a Multi-Model Approach to Optimize Tasks

Microsoft's Copilot platform doesn't rely on a single foundation model. It automatically routes user tasks to different models based on what works best for the job—using OpenAI for interactive chat but switching to Claude for long-running, tool-using background tasks.

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz thumbnail

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz

TBPN·2 months ago

Eon Systems Pioneers "Mind Uploading" with a Biological Fruit Fly Brain

In a step toward emulating minds, Eon Systems connected the scanned connectome of an actual fruit fly to a physics-simulated body. Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross says the goal is a future where both artificial and emulated biological minds can operate on cloud infrastructure.

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz thumbnail

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz

TBPN·2 months ago

Hard Tech Founders Must Show Progress on People, Product, and Traction

Unlike SaaS, hard tech lacks standardized metrics. Founders must demonstrate momentum across three pillars: hiring exceptional, domain-expert talent (people); achieving tangible technical milestones (product); and securing customer commitments like LOIs or contracts (traction) to prove viability.

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz thumbnail

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz

TBPN·2 months ago

LPs Are "Lagging, Lagging Indicators" for New Tech Categories

Venture capital LPs often trail in recognizing emerging tech trends. According to PAX VC founder Michelle Volz, they require significant education and only commit capital once a sector is mainstream and showing returns, often after the most promising early-stage investment opportunities have passed.

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz thumbnail

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz

TBPN·2 months ago

AI Buildout Is Vulnerable to Oil Prices via Interest Rates, Not Electricity Costs

Higher oil prices have limited direct impact on data center electricity, as only 0.6% of US power comes from petroleum. The real threat is macroeconomic: oil-driven inflation may force the Fed to raise rates, making the massive debt for data center construction significantly more expensive.

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz thumbnail

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz

TBPN·2 months ago

Lyft's Early Guerrilla Marketing Included Front-Seat Rides and "Knuckle Bumps"

In its capital war against Uber's professional black car service, Lyft launched with a quirky, friendly brand. Early riders were encouraged to sit in the front seat, give their drivers a fist bump ("knucks"), and ride in cars sporting large pink mustaches, creating a disarmingly casual experience.

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz thumbnail

History’s Largest Oil Disruption, Oil & AI, Sundar's New Pay Deal | Alex Epstein, Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross, Charles Lamanna, Julien Bek, Eoghan McCabe, Michelle Volz

TBPN·2 months ago