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  2. Daniel Gross’ AGI predictions, SpaceX IPO news, Trump takes control of US chip exports | Diet TBPN
Daniel Gross’ AGI predictions, SpaceX IPO news, Trump takes control of US chip exports | Diet TBPN

Daniel Gross’ AGI predictions, SpaceX IPO news, Trump takes control of US chip exports | Diet TBPN

TBPN · Mar 6, 2026

Revisiting Daniel Gross's prescient 2024 AGI predictions, from NVIDIA's rise to copper's surge. Plus: Trump's new chip export controls.

Power Transformers, Not GPUs, Were the AI Data Center's Hidden Bottleneck

While GPUs dominated headlines, the most significant bottleneck in scaling AI data centers was 100-year-old power transformer technology. With lead times stretching over three years and costs surging 150%, connecting new data centers to the grid became the primary constraint on the AI buildout.

Daniel Gross’ AGI predictions, SpaceX IPO news, Trump takes control of US chip exports | Diet TBPN thumbnail

Daniel Gross’ AGI predictions, SpaceX IPO news, Trump takes control of US chip exports | Diet TBPN

TBPN·a day ago

AI Paradox: Reducing Wage Inequality While Increasing Wealth Inequality

AI is expected to have a dual, opposing effect on economic inequality. It may reduce wage gaps by automating high-income tasks before low-income ones, compressing salaries from the top down. Simultaneously, it will likely worsen wealth inequality by concentrating massive capital returns in the hands of tech owners and investors.

Daniel Gross’ AGI predictions, SpaceX IPO news, Trump takes control of US chip exports | Diet TBPN thumbnail

Daniel Gross’ AGI predictions, SpaceX IPO news, Trump takes control of US chip exports | Diet TBPN

TBPN·a day ago

AI Is Creating a New 'AI Native' Full-Stack Engineering Role

AI isn't eliminating software engineering but fundamentally changing it. Demand for traditional programming is declining, while demand for "AI native" engineers—who manage entire systems from prompt to deployment using agentic tools—has grown 143%. The role is shifting from writing code to orchestrating AI systems at a higher abstraction level.

Daniel Gross’ AGI predictions, SpaceX IPO news, Trump takes control of US chip exports | Diet TBPN thumbnail

Daniel Gross’ AGI predictions, SpaceX IPO news, Trump takes control of US chip exports | Diet TBPN

TBPN·a day ago

Market Rewards NVIDIA's High-Margin Model Over Microsoft's $80B AI CapEx

Despite Microsoft's massive AI investments, its stock only grew 4%, while NVIDIA's market cap soared. Investors punished Microsoft's heavy capital expenditure, favoring NVIDIA’s high-margin, fabless "picks and shovels" approach that captured immediate AI profits without the same infrastructure risk.

Daniel Gross’ AGI predictions, SpaceX IPO news, Trump takes control of US chip exports | Diet TBPN thumbnail

Daniel Gross’ AGI predictions, SpaceX IPO news, Trump takes control of US chip exports | Diet TBPN

TBPN·a day ago

SpaceX's $1.75T IPO Aims to Defy Financial Gravity With Narrative

SpaceX is targeting a record-breaking $1.75T IPO valuation, possibly while unprofitable. The strategy isn't based on conventional metrics but on Elon Musk's ability to "defy financial gravity." It leverages his reputation and a vastly larger public market (vs. the Alibaba IPO era) to command a valuation driven by future promise over current financials.

Daniel Gross’ AGI predictions, SpaceX IPO news, Trump takes control of US chip exports | Diet TBPN thumbnail

Daniel Gross’ AGI predictions, SpaceX IPO news, Trump takes control of US chip exports | Diet TBPN

TBPN·a day ago

Leading-Edge Nodes Are Crucial; China Can't Brute-Force AI with Energy

China cannot overcome its semiconductor disadvantage by simply applying more energy to its lagging-edge chips. No frontier AI model has been trained on hardware older than 5nm, suggesting leading-edge nodes provide an essential, non-linear advantage in training efficiency that cannot be compensated for with sheer power, a major hurdle for China's AGI ambitions.

Daniel Gross’ AGI predictions, SpaceX IPO news, Trump takes control of US chip exports | Diet TBPN thumbnail

Daniel Gross’ AGI predictions, SpaceX IPO news, Trump takes control of US chip exports | Diet TBPN

TBPN·a day ago