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  1. Forward Guidance
  2. Emerging Markets, Stablecoins & Why You Should Look Beyond the U.S. | Amy Oldenburg
Emerging Markets, Stablecoins & Why You Should Look Beyond the U.S. | Amy Oldenburg

Emerging Markets, Stablecoins & Why You Should Look Beyond the U.S. | Amy Oldenburg

Forward Guidance · Oct 1, 2025

Morgan Stanley's Head of EM Equity on the convergence of crypto and macro, forecasting a capital rotation from the US to emerging markets.

Emerging Markets Adopt Crypto for Survival, Not Western-Style Convenience

Unlike in developed nations where crypto competes with fast payment systems, in emerging markets it solves fundamental problems. It provides banking access for the unbanked and a hedge against severe currency devaluation.

Emerging Markets, Stablecoins & Why You Should Look Beyond the U.S. | Amy Oldenburg thumbnail

Emerging Markets, Stablecoins & Why You Should Look Beyond the U.S. | Amy Oldenburg

Forward Guidance·5 months ago

Extreme Investor Sentiment Swings Create Volatile Opportunities in China

Investor sentiment towards China swings wildly from complete avoidance ('ex-China' products) to FOMO within 12-18 months. This creates extreme volatility and opportunities for investors who can navigate these rapid shifts in perception.

Emerging Markets, Stablecoins & Why You Should Look Beyond the U.S. | Amy Oldenburg thumbnail

Emerging Markets, Stablecoins & Why You Should Look Beyond the U.S. | Amy Oldenburg

Forward Guidance·5 months ago

Stablecoins Threaten Banks by Eroding the Deposit Base That Fuels Lending

For traditional banks, the primary threat from stablecoins isn't just payment competition, but a mass exodus of customer deposits. This would eliminate their cheap funding source, cripple their ability to lend, and force a complete business model overhaul.

Emerging Markets, Stablecoins & Why You Should Look Beyond the U.S. | Amy Oldenburg thumbnail

Emerging Markets, Stablecoins & Why You Should Look Beyond the U.S. | Amy Oldenburg

Forward Guidance·5 months ago

Emerging Markets Finance Veterans Gravitate to Crypto Due to Shared Volatility

Professionals experienced in emerging markets' FX and capital controls find crypto's dynamics familiar. The high volatility and complex cross-border flows in EM serve as a perfect training ground for navigating the digital asset space.

Emerging Markets, Stablecoins & Why You Should Look Beyond the U.S. | Amy Oldenburg thumbnail

Emerging Markets, Stablecoins & Why You Should Look Beyond the U.S. | Amy Oldenburg

Forward Guidance·5 months ago

Tokenized Money Market Funds May Make Stablecoins Obsolete for Payments

The next evolution of digital payments might bypass stablecoins. Users could transact directly from tokenized money market funds, earning yield until the moment of payment, thus removing the need for a non-yielding stablecoin intermediary.

Emerging Markets, Stablecoins & Why You Should Look Beyond the U.S. | Amy Oldenburg thumbnail

Emerging Markets, Stablecoins & Why You Should Look Beyond the U.S. | Amy Oldenburg

Forward Guidance·5 months ago

Small Capital Shifts from U.S. Equities Create Outsized Moves in Emerging Markets

Due to the immense size of the U.S. market, even minor capital reallocations can cause significant price movements in smaller, less liquid emerging markets. This leverage effect is a key dynamic for EM investors to watch.

Emerging Markets, Stablecoins & Why You Should Look Beyond the U.S. | Amy Oldenburg thumbnail

Emerging Markets, Stablecoins & Why You Should Look Beyond the U.S. | Amy Oldenburg

Forward Guidance·5 months ago