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  1. Thoughts on the Market
  2. Get Ready for a Steeper Yield Curve
Get Ready for a Steeper Yield Curve

Get Ready for a Steeper Yield Curve

Thoughts on the Market · Oct 7, 2025

Fed cuts are steepening the yield curve, boosting credit markets through insurance demand but hurting housing with high mortgage rates.

A Steepening Yield Curve Boosts Credit Markets via Life Insurance Annuity Sales

A steep yield curve makes fixed annuities more attractive for consumers. Life insurers sell more of these products and invest the proceeds into spread assets like corporate bonds, creating a powerful, non-obvious demand driver for the credit markets.

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Get Ready for a Steeper Yield Curve

Thoughts on the Market·4 months ago

Fed Rate Cuts Can Paradoxically Increase Mortgage Rates When the Yield Curve Steepens

Fed rate cuts primarily lower short-term yields. If long-term yields remain high or rise, this steepens the curve. Because mortgage rates track these longer yields, they can actually increase, creating a headwind for housing affordability despite an easing monetary policy.

Get Ready for a Steeper Yield Curve thumbnail

Get Ready for a Steeper Yield Curve

Thoughts on the Market·4 months ago

Sticky Long-Term Yields Constrain New Debt Supply, Tightening Credit Spreads

When a steepening yield curve is caused by sticky long-term yields, overall borrowing costs remain high. This discourages companies from issuing new debt, and the reduced supply provides a powerful technical support that helps keep credit spreads tight, even amid macro uncertainty.

Get Ready for a Steeper Yield Curve thumbnail

Get Ready for a Steeper Yield Curve

Thoughts on the Market·4 months ago