Analysts see Hungary's election as a positive catalyst, making its equity market an attractive opportunity. This "overweight" stance exists even as the firm prefers U.S. assets over European ones overall, demonstrating a nuanced strategy of separating country-specific alpha from broad regional market views.
Key EU procedures like sanctions and defense policy require unanimous approval. This grants any single nation, such as Hungary was, the power to disrupt or veto critical decisions, creating significant geopolitical friction and systemic risk for the entire European Union bloc.
A new, EU-friendly government in Hungary is expected to unlock frozen funds from the bloc. This infusion is forecast to increase potential GDP growth by 1-1.5%. Markets are pricing this in, with analysts expecting further currency appreciation and falling interest rates as political risk premiums decrease.