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  1. Thoughts on the Market
  2. The Looming Bottleneck for Global Tech
The Looming Bottleneck for Global Tech

The Looming Bottleneck for Global Tech

Thoughts on the Market · Mar 13, 2026

Global tech's future isn't just code; it's energy. A bottleneck in the Strait of Hormuz threatens advanced chip production and AI infrastructure.

Semiconductor Stocks Historically Dropped 30% During Major Oil Price Surges

Historical data from 2008 and 2021-22 shows a strong correlation between oil price spikes and significant downturns in semiconductor stocks. In both periods, the sector declined by roughly 30%. This suggests energy market volatility is a direct leading indicator of financial risk for tech investors.

The Looming Bottleneck for Global Tech thumbnail

The Looming Bottleneck for Global Tech

Thoughts on the Market·2 months ago

Oil Refining Disruptions Threaten Chip Manufacturing Via a Hidden Sulfur Bottleneck

Over 90% of the world's sulfur is a byproduct of oil refining. This sulfur is crucial for producing sulfuric acid, a key chemical in semiconductor manufacturing. Therefore, disruptions to oil shipping or refining create a hidden material supply chain risk for the tech industry, beyond just energy costs for power.

The Looming Bottleneck for Global Tech thumbnail

The Looming Bottleneck for Global Tech

Thoughts on the Market·2 months ago

A Single Taiwanese Chipmaker Consumes 10% of the Nation's Electricity

The extreme energy intensity of advanced chipmaking creates a critical vulnerability. In Taiwan, the world's leading chip producer, a single major manufacturer uses up to 10% of the country's total power. This high-stakes dependency is amplified by Taiwan's limited LNG storage of only about one and a half weeks.

The Looming Bottleneck for Global Tech thumbnail

The Looming Bottleneck for Global Tech

Thoughts on the Market·2 months ago