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  1. Thoughts on the Market
  2. Will the Fed End the Party?
Will the Fed End the Party?

Will the Fed End the Party?

Thoughts on the Market · Sep 29, 2025

A perfect storm of fiscal stimulus, a massive AI investment boom, deregulation, and Fed cuts could fuel a major corporate boom.

AI Spending Is Now a Macroeconomic Stimulus Dwarfing Past Investment Booms

Morgan Stanley frames AI-related capital expenditure as one of the largest investment waves ever recorded. This is not just a sector trend but a primary economic driver, projected to be larger than the shale boom of the 2010s and the telecommunications spending of the late 1990s.

Will the Fed End the Party? thumbnail

Will the Fed End the Party?

Thoughts on the Market·5 months ago

A 1990s-Style Corporate Boom Could Emerge from Converging Stimulus Measures

The US economy is seeing a rare combination of high government deficits, massive AI-driven corporate investment, and bank deregulation. If the Federal Reserve also cuts rates based on labor market fears, this confluence of fiscal, corporate, and monetary stimulus could ignite unprecedented corporate risk-taking if growth holds up.

Will the Fed End the Party? thumbnail

Will the Fed End the Party?

Thoughts on the Market·5 months ago