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Matthew Quigley - Pricing Potential: How Lending and NIL Are Changing Sports

Matthew Quigley - Pricing Potential: How Lending and NIL Are Changing Sports

The Business Brew · Oct 29, 2025

Matthew Quigley of DraftLine Capital discusses the evolution of NIL, the business of lending to athletes, and private credit opportunities.

Private Lenders Secure Athlete Loans By Structuring Direct Repayments from Teams

To eliminate counterparty risk with young athletes, specialized lenders establish a direct deposit arrangement with the professional team or university. This structure ensures repayment is automatic and not subject to the athlete's spending habits. The athlete never touches the repayment funds, which go directly from the team to the lender.

Matthew Quigley - Pricing Potential: How Lending and NIL Are Changing Sports thumbnail

Matthew Quigley - Pricing Potential: How Lending and NIL Are Changing Sports

The Business Brew·4 months ago

Athlete Lenders De-Risk Pre-Draft Loans by Lending 10% of a Deviated Draft Value

To manage the uncertainty of an athlete's draft position, specialized lenders calculate a projected draft value by averaging multiple "big boards" and then applying a downward standard deviation. They further mitigate risk by lending a maximum of only 10% of this conservative, de-risked projection, ensuring a high margin of safety.

Matthew Quigley - Pricing Potential: How Lending and NIL Are Changing Sports thumbnail

Matthew Quigley - Pricing Potential: How Lending and NIL Are Changing Sports

The Business Brew·4 months ago

Even Perennially Powerful College Baseball Programs Still Lose Money Annually

The financial structure of collegiate athletics is heavily skewed. Even a powerhouse program in a popular sport like baseball at Florida State, which sells out games year-round, operates at a loss. This highlights the immense financial burden carried by football programs, which effectively subsidize nearly all other sports at a university.

Matthew Quigley - Pricing Potential: How Lending and NIL Are Changing Sports thumbnail

Matthew Quigley - Pricing Potential: How Lending and NIL Are Changing Sports

The Business Brew·4 months ago

Universities Now Seek Private Credit to Fund Athlete Recruiting Bonuses

The NIL arms race has created a new financing need for universities themselves. They are now turning to private credit funds for multi-million dollar loans to cover recruiting expenses and six-figure commitment bonuses. These loans are secured by the athletic department's predictable TV revenue, creating a stable, asset-backed lending opportunity.

Matthew Quigley - Pricing Potential: How Lending and NIL Are Changing Sports thumbnail

Matthew Quigley - Pricing Potential: How Lending and NIL Are Changing Sports

The Business Brew·4 months ago

Ethical Athlete Lenders Refuse to Fund Luxury Goods, Focusing on Insurance and Real Estate

To avoid predatory lending accusations and adverse selection, some private credit funds apply a strict "use of funds" screen. They will not fund discretionary lifestyle purchases like jewelry or cars, regardless of the athlete's guaranteed contract value. Instead, they focus on financing career-protecting assets like insurance premiums or real estate.

Matthew Quigley - Pricing Potential: How Lending and NIL Are Changing Sports thumbnail

Matthew Quigley - Pricing Potential: How Lending and NIL Are Changing Sports

The Business Brew·4 months ago

A Single $8.5M High School Deal Ignited the College NIL Arms Race

The NIL market rapidly escalated from modest monthly payments to multi-million dollar contracts. The turning point was a Tennessee collective's $8.5 million deal for a junior in high school, which set a new precedent and transformed the landscape from marketing support to a full-blown talent acquisition bidding war.

Matthew Quigley - Pricing Potential: How Lending and NIL Are Changing Sports thumbnail

Matthew Quigley - Pricing Potential: How Lending and NIL Are Changing Sports

The Business Brew·4 months ago

Conventional Banks Fail Elite Athletes By Prioritizing Historical Assets Over Future Earnings

Despite high earning potential, young athletes are often rejected by conventional private banks. Bank regulations require underwriting based on historical balance sheets, which a 21-year-old lacks. This creates a market gap for specialized lenders who can underwrite based on guaranteed future contract value, not past financial history.

Matthew Quigley - Pricing Potential: How Lending and NIL Are Changing Sports thumbnail

Matthew Quigley - Pricing Potential: How Lending and NIL Are Changing Sports

The Business Brew·4 months ago

Fernando Tatis's Lawsuit Reveals the Perils of Selling Future Athlete Earnings

Unlike traditional debt, selling a percentage of future earnings can lead to predatory lending lawsuits, as seen with Fernando Tatis. He received $2 million for 10% of future earnings as a teenager, which became a $33 million liability after his mega-contract. This model's high effective cost creates significant legal and reputational risk for funders.

Matthew Quigley - Pricing Potential: How Lending and NIL Are Changing Sports thumbnail

Matthew Quigley - Pricing Potential: How Lending and NIL Are Changing Sports

The Business Brew·4 months ago