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Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame

Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame

More or Less · Oct 10, 2025

The crew debates the AI investment bubble, comparing massive capex to historical manias, while covering SF Tech Week and Barry Weiss's CBS move.

A Founder's Willingness to Learn 'Soft Skills' Signals High Potential for VCs

Investors should view a founder's desire to learn skills like etiquette not as a weakness, but as a strong positive signal. It demonstrates humility, introspection, and a drive for self-improvement—key traits for a coachable and successful leader. The capacity for growth can be more valuable than pre-existing polish, identifying them as better long-term partners.

Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame thumbnail

Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame

More or Less·4 months ago

The AI Capital Flood Contradicts the U.S. Manufacturing Boom Narrative By Starving Other Sectors

While there's a popular narrative about a US manufacturing resurgence, the massive capital spending on AI contradicts it. By consuming a huge portion of available capital and accounting for half of GDP growth, the AI boom drives up the cost of capital for all non-AI sectors, making it harder for manufacturing and other startups to get funded.

Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame thumbnail

Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame

More or Less·4 months ago

The True Risk of Massive AI Spending Isn't the Initial Cost, But Creating a Permanent Drag on Profitability

Markets can forgive a one-time bad investment. The critical danger for companies heavily investing in AI infrastructure is not the initial cash burn, but creating ongoing liabilities and operational costs. This financial "drag" could permanently lower future profitability, creating a structural problem that can't be easily unwound or written off.

Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame thumbnail

Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame

More or Less·4 months ago

Quantum Computing's Practical Applications Are 'Vanishingly Small,' According to Experts

Despite hype around its potential to solve famously complex problems like the "traveling salesman," experts in the field caution that the number of actual, practical problems quantum computing can currently solve is extremely small. The gap between its theoretical power and tangible business application remains vast, making its near-term commercial impact questionable.

Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame thumbnail

Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame

More or Less·4 months ago

VCs Launch Incubators to Secure Cheap Pre-Seed AI Stakes Amidst Valuation Hysteria

The recent surge in demo days and YC-style incubators from major VCs is a delayed reaction to the valuation boom of two years ago. These programs are a strategic play to get cheap, early-stage access to a wide portfolio of AI companies, de-risking entry into a hyped and uncertain market where good ideas are hard to differentiate.

Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame thumbnail

Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame

More or Less·4 months ago

Brute-Force Ad Repetition Can Overpower a Consumer's Rational Decision-Making

A host recounts buying multiple watches—a product category he had no prior interest in—simply because he was relentlessly targeted with ads. This demonstrates how high-frequency ad exposure can create demand and drive conversions through sheer persistence, bypassing logic, personal preference, and even negative feedback from peers. Sheer volume can be surprisingly effective.

Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame thumbnail

Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame

More or Less·4 months ago

The AI Infrastructure Boom Is Tech's Version of China's Housing Bubble, Driving Artificial GDP Growth

The massive capex spending on AI data centers is less about clear ROI and more about propping up the economy. Similar to how China built empty cities to fuel its GDP, tech giants are building vast digital infrastructure. This creates a bubble that keeps economic indicators positive and aligns incentives, even if the underlying business case is unproven.

Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame thumbnail

Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame

More or Less·4 months ago

Massive AI Capex Forcing a Reunion Between a Capital-Hungry Silicon Valley and Wall Street

Unlike the previous era of highly profitable, self-funding tech giants, the AI boom requires enormous capital for infrastructure. This has forced tech companies to seek complex financing from Wall Street through debt and SPVs, re-integrating the two industries after years of operating independently. Tech now needs finance to sustain its next wave of growth.

Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame thumbnail

Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame

More or Less·4 months ago