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  1. Economist Podcasts
  2. Bringing the House down: our American midterms model
Bringing the House down: our American midterms model

Bringing the House down: our American midterms model

Economist Podcasts · Apr 23, 2026

Our US midterms model, a deep dive with composer Steve Reich, and the data explaining why eldest siblings often get a head start in life.

Childhood Illness Accounts for Half the Sibling Earnings Gap

New research suggests younger siblings' higher rates of respiratory illness in their first year—often contracted from older siblings in daycare—can impair critical brain development. This early health disadvantage is causally linked to lower adult earnings, explaining about 50% of the birth-order income disparity.

Bringing the House down: our American midterms model thumbnail

Bringing the House down: our American midterms model

Economist Podcasts·2 months ago

Partisan Gerrymandering Inadvertently Created a 'Perfectly Fair' U.S. National House Map

Despite intense gerrymandering by both parties in individual states, the net effect at the national level has created a balanced map. A 50% national popular vote for a party is now predicted to yield 50% of the seats, an unusual level of fairness by recent historical standards.

Bringing the House down: our American midterms model thumbnail

Bringing the House down: our American midterms model

Economist Podcasts·2 months ago

Steve Reich's Iconic "Music for 18 Musicians" Title Was Born from Tour Economics

The famous composition was originally for 21 musicians. The composer reduced the number to 18 to save money on airplane tickets and hotels for touring. The profound Jewish numerological meaning of 18 ('chai' or 'life') was a significance he only realized after the pragmatic decision had been made.

Bringing the House down: our American midterms model thumbnail

Bringing the House down: our American midterms model

Economist Podcasts·2 months ago

Economist's Election Model Ignores Primary Polling to Avoid Premature Assumptions

The forecasting model deliberately excludes all data on specific races, including polls, until both major party nominees are officially chosen. This prevents the model from being skewed by the volatility of primary campaigns, ensuring it only analyzes confirmed general election matchups for greater reliability.

Bringing the House down: our American midterms model thumbnail

Bringing the House down: our American midterms model

Economist Podcasts·2 months ago

Steve Reich's Early Electronic Music Endures Because It Was About Something Real

The composer believes his seminal 1960s tape-loop pieces, like "Come Out," survived while others faded because they were grounded in significant real-world events. Works addressing topics like the Harlem Six gave them lasting relevance beyond pure technical experimentation.

Bringing the House down: our American midterms model thumbnail

Bringing the House down: our American midterms model

Economist Podcasts·2 months ago

Dividing Parental Time Equally Inadvertently Favors the Eldest Child

While parents often try to be fair by dividing time equally among children, this practice disadvantages younger siblings. As older children age and require less attention, they still receive an equal share, while their infant siblings get the same amount during a more critical developmental period, giving the eldest more cumulative attention.

Bringing the House down: our American midterms model thumbnail

Bringing the House down: our American midterms model

Economist Podcasts·2 months ago