According to Bloomberg's Mark Gurman, Apple's 2018 hiring of Google's AI chief was a strategic disaster that left the company far behind in AI. The subsequent multi-billion-dollar deal to integrate Google's Gemini model into Siri is a stark admission of this failure, forcing Apple to rely on a direct competitor for core functionality.

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Apple is avoiding massive capital expenditure on building its own LLMs. By partnering with a leader like Google for the underlying tech (e.g., Gemini for Siri), Apple can focus on its core strength: productizing and integrating technology into a superior user experience, which may be the more profitable long-term play.

In a major strategic move, Apple is white-labeling Google's Gemini model to power the upcoming, revamped Siri. Apple will pay Google for this underlying technology, a tacit admission that its in-house models are not yet competitive. This partnership aims to fix Siri's long-standing performance issues without publicly advertising its reliance on a competitor.

Contrary to the narrative that Apple is wisely waiting out the AI hype, reporter Mark Gurman asserts their AI strategy has been a "disaster." He claims the tech giant was "completely caught off guard" by ChatGPT and its anti-chatbot stance was a major mistake, revealing a significant strategic miss, not a deliberate, patient approach.

By integrating Gemini into Siri, Google acquires massive distribution and user data, creating a powerful product flywheel. This advantage, combined with proprietary chips and vast resources, positions Google ahead of competitors like OpenAI in the AI race, despite not having the leading consumer brand.

Unlike search, where Apple charges Google $20B for access, Apple is reportedly paying to use Google's Gemini AI. This reversal shows that elite AI technology currently holds more leverage than even Apple's massive user base.

While critics say Apple "missed AI," its strategy of partnering with Google for Gemini is a masterstroke. Apple avoids billions in CapEx, sidesteps brand-damaging AI controversies, and maintains control over the lucrative user interface, positioning itself to win the "agent of commerce" war.

Apple's internal AI software, including Siri, has faced significant delays. The strategic partnership to use Google's Gemini model has given Apple the confidence to accelerate its AI hardware roadmap, like the new wearable pin, by decoupling hardware innovation from its slower internal software development.

Apple's partnership with Google for Siri was less about Google's technological superiority and more a strategic move to avoid empowering OpenAI, which is increasingly becoming a direct competitor in consumer hardware like smart glasses and audio devices. Giving OpenAI access to Apple's ecosystem would train a future rival.

By licensing Google's Gemini for Siri, Apple is strategically avoiding the capital-intensive foundation model war. This allows them to focus resources on their core strength: silicon and on-device AI. The long-term vision is a future where Apple dominates the "edge," interoperating with cloud AIs.

Apple's choice to partner with Google for its Siri overhaul highlights a strategic decision to avoid a direct hardware competitor like OpenAI. OpenAI's reported hardware ambitions and recent leadership turmoil likely made the more stable, familiar partnership with Google—a historical collaborator—the safer bet for Apple.