Unlike uniform property or income taxes, a wealth tax targeting a specific group (e.g., billionaires) is a non-uniform "demographic tax." This sets a precedent allowing government to seize any post-tax private property from any defined group, effectively making all private property public.
Once a 'one-time' wealth tax is implemented to cover deficits, it removes pressure on politicians to manage finances responsibly. The tax becomes a recurring tool, and the definition of 'wealthy' inevitably expands as the original tax base leaves the jurisdiction.
The proposed California "entrepreneur's tax" is not a one-time levy on billionaires. It's viewed as the first step toward an annual tax on paper wealth, with thresholds planned to drop to $25M. This would impact founders with illiquid equity post-Series B, forcing a mass exodus before an IPO.
Congressman Ro Khanna proposes a tax on the total net worth of individuals with over $100 million. Unlike an income or capital gains tax, this targets unrealized wealth, forcing the liquidation of assets like stocks to generate the cash needed to pay the tax.
A proposed wealth tax in California triggered a significant flight of capital and high-net-worth individuals, even without becoming law. The key factor was the failure of politicians to uniformly condemn the proposal, which was perceived as a threat to fundamental property rights, signaling a hostile business climate.
The proposed tax on billionaires' assets isn't about the billionaires themselves, who hold a fraction of national wealth. The real goal is to establish the legal precedent for a private property tax. Once normalized, this mechanism can be extended to the middle class, where the vast majority of assets reside.
While popular on the American left, direct wealth taxes have a poor track record in Europe. Countries like France, Sweden, Germany, and others discarded them because they were too complex to administer and ultimately failed to generate enough revenue to be worthwhile. This historical precedent presents a significant practical challenge for proposals like the one in California.
The proposed wealth tax applies to illiquid assets. A founder of a highly-valued private AI startup could be deemed a 'billionaire' and face a massive tax bill on paper wealth, even if their company never exits or ultimately sells for a much lower price, creating a huge financial risk.
Billionaire wealth taxes are easily dodged by relocating. A more robust policy would tax capital gains based on the jurisdiction where the value was created, preventing billionaires from moving to a zero-tax state just before selling stock to avoid taxes.
Proponents often describe wealth taxes as a "one-time" event to make them more palatable to voters. However, the true aim is not the initial revenue but establishing a permanent legal precedent for the government to seize private property. The "one-time" language is a deliberate misdirection to cross a legal and political Rubicon.
David Friedberg argues the proposed billionaire tax isn't about targeting the wealthy, but about establishing a legal precedent for the government to audit and tax the private property of all citizens. The real target is the middle class's $170 trillion in assets, not the billionaires' $8 trillion.