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Cosmology is stuck because it operates on the unexamined axiom that our universe is a random, one-shot event. This single, unproven assumption forces all subsequent theories and interpretations of data into a flawed paradigm, preventing exploration of more fruitful ideas like an evolved universe.
All knowledge, including in 'hard' sciences like medicine and physics, is temporary. Facts are statistically likely to be proven untrue over time, much like particle decay. This reality demands intellectual humility and a willingness to question established truths.
Avi Loeb argues that fields like string theory, after 50 years without testable predictions, function more like a religious cult than science. The community values mathematical virtuosity and internal consensus over experimental verification, which he calls the essential ingredient for scientific progress.
Conventional physics views the universe as evolving from initial conditions via fixed laws. An alternative view is that the universe is a self-constructing system with no external builder. Life is the physical process through which the universe explores possibilities and generates novelty.
Cosmologists mistakenly model the universe with simple gas laws, as if it's a random bag of chemicals. Instead, it behaves like an evolving organism—"a dog"—that grows more complex and interesting over time. This fundamental mischaracterization leads to flawed theories.
No scientific theory is absolute truth; each is a model based on assumptions it cannot prove. A truly great theory, like Einstein's, not only explains phenomena but also provides the tools to discover its own limitations. For general relativity and quantum mechanics, this limit is the Planck scale, where the concept of spacetime becomes meaningless, proving its own incompleteness.
The field of fundamental physics is in a period of slow progress because, unlike in the past, theoretical work is not being fueled by new empirical data. Major experiments, while successful, have not revealed the clues needed to unify existing theories.
A scientific theory's assumptions don't need to be true, just consistent. A truly great theory, like Einstein's, provides the mathematical framework to identify the boundaries where its own assumptions—such as spacetime being fundamental—break down.
The dominant cosmological model, based on a random one-shot universe, fails to predict observed structures. Instead of questioning the foundational axiom, scientists invent "dark matter" as a fudge factor to fix discrepancies, much like Ptolemaic astronomers added epicycles to save their geocentric model.
Every scientific theory is built on foundational assumptions it cannot prove. Because science is an infinite process of finding deeper theories with new assumptions, the portion of total reality it can explain will always be effectively zero.
The scientific process is vulnerable to human fallibility, as scientists are prone to bias and resistance to counterintuitive ideas. Physicist Robert Millikan spent 12 years trying to disprove Einstein's quantum theories, unintentionally gathering the very data that proved them right.