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Jason Kelly argues against the "free market" view of pharma, noting U.S. consumers generate 70% of global drug profits. This market power means the U.S. is effectively paying for the R&D that builds up China's strategic biotech industry, a national security concern.

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The U.S. market's high prices create the large profit pool necessary to fund risky drug development. If the U.S. adopted price negotiation like other countries, the global incentive for pharmaceutical innovation would shrink, resulting in fewer new drugs being developed worldwide.

The argument against adopting lower foreign drug prices is framed as a national security imperative. Proponents argue that such price controls would slash U.S. R&D investment, allowing China to dominate the bio-pharma sector and potentially weaponize future drug supply chains in a crisis.

China holds a choke point on the global pharmaceutical supply chain, being the sole source for key ingredients in hundreds of US medicines. This leverage could be used to restrict supply, creating shortages and price hikes, opening a new, sensitive front in geopolitical tensions.

Large multinational pharma companies publicly express concern about the threat from China's biopharma sector. Simultaneously, these same companies are investing billions, actively integrating China into the global ecosystem and contradicting their own zero-sum game narrative.

Jeremy Levin outlines China's deliberate, 25-year strategic plan for biotech, moving from API production to CROs, attracting scientific talent, creating lookalikes, and now developing novel medicines. He warns that unless the U.S. treats biotech as a strategic asset, China's state-driven approach will make it the dominant innovator within five years, partly funded by Western pharma investments.

A disconnect exists between the public rhetoric of U.S. pharma leaders, who frame China's growing biotech sector as a threat, and their corporate actions. These same companies are investing heavily in Chinese R&D and manufacturing, revealing a dual strategy of public caution and private commitment to integrating China into the global biopharma ecosystem.

America's high drug prices, while socially debated, ensure that global biotech innovators, including those in China, prioritize bringing their best drugs to the US market. This guarantees American access to cutting-edge treatments developed anywhere.

The gap between U.S. and international drug prices is a structural feature of the pharma economy. High profits from the U.S. market fund expensive R&D that ultimately benefits the rest of the world, which pays far less for the same innovations. This reframes the debate around high American healthcare costs.

Driven by significant government investment, China is rapidly becoming a leader in biotech R&D, licensing, and outsourcing. This shift is a top-of-mind concern for US biotech and pharma executives, with China now involved in a majority of top R&D licensing deals.

Beyond just pharma, China is engaging in a 'salami slicing' strategy to take over the foundational infrastructure of the U.S. biotech economy. This slow, incremental acquisition of manufacturing and research capabilities mirrors its successful long-term strategy for dominating sectors like rare earths.