Affirm's CEO suggests competitors don't report payment data to credit bureaus as a business strategy. By keeping delinquencies off the 'permanent record,' they can implicitly encourage late payments, from which they profit via fees. Affirm, having no late fees, advocates for full reporting.
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Max Levchin claims any single data point that seems to dramatically improve underwriting accuracy is a red herring. He argues these 'magic bullets' are brittle and fail when market conditions shift. A robust risk model instead relies on aggregating small lifts from many subtle factors.
Despite a 9.1% year-over-year increase in nominal sales, Black Friday data reveals consumers bought 4.1% fewer items and dramatically increased their use of "Buy Now, Pay Later" services. This indicates that inflation, not strong consumer health, is driving top-line revenue growth for corporations.
A key operational use of AI at Affirm is for regulatory compliance. The company deploys models to automatically scan thousands of merchant websites and ads, flagging incorrect or misleading claims about its financing products for which Affirm itself is legally responsible.
Affirm offers a physical card that switches between debit and pre-approved credit. Instead of mass-advertising it, Affirm offers it exclusively to its existing, trusted user base. This deepens the relationship and drives retention without the high marketing spend of traditional cards.
Max Levchin's firsthand struggle with hidden fees and the long-term impact of a credit card mistake—even after his PayPal success—was the direct catalyst for founding Affirm. The goal was to build a transparent lending model born from personal pain.
The dramatic rise in BNPL usage across all demographics, including 41% of young shoppers, is a negative forward-looking indicator. While framed as innovation, it's a form of modern usury that reveals consumers cannot afford their purchases, creating a significant, under-discussed credit risk for the economy.
Merchants pay BNPL providers like Affirm more than credit card processors for three key benefits: converting hesitant buyers ('incremental sales'), ensuring high approval rates so the option is useful, and protecting their brand from association with lenders who charge punitive fees.
Affirm's CEO argues the core flaw of credit cards is not high APRs, but a business model that profits from consumer mistakes. Lenders are incentivized by compounding interest and late fees, meaning they benefit when customers take longer to pay and stumble.
By eliminating late fees and compounding interest, Affirm removes any financial upside from borrower mistakes. This forces the company's business model to depend solely on successful repayment, demanding superior, transaction-by-transaction underwriting to survive.