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Oppenheim advises against buying real estate in markets like Austin or Miami where developers can easily expand outwards or upwards. This lack of scarcity prevents long-term appreciation. He recommends investing only where land is finite and development is difficult.

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An effective real estate strategy is to buy property only in the handful of global cities where the ultra-wealthy cluster (e.g., London, NYC, Aspen). The rationale is that this demographic is highly predictable and homogenous in their lifestyle choices, creating sustained demand for finite real estate in these locations and ensuring long-term value appreciation.

Counterintuitively, the best multifamily markets aren't high-population-growth cities like Austin. These attract too much new supply, capping rent growth. The optimal strategy is to find markets with barriers to entry and minimal new construction, as this creates a durable runway for rental increases.

The difference in home price trends between US regions is not about weather or jobs, but housing supply. States in the South and West that permit widespread new construction are seeing prices fall, while "Not In My Backyard" (NIMBY) states in the Northeast and Midwest face shortages and rising prices.

Policies intended to curb luxury development, such as a construction freeze, have a counterintuitive effect. They transform the existing luxury housing stock into a limited, finite resource. This artificial scarcity dramatically drives up prices for those assets, making them 'gold' and potentially worsening inequality.

Housing scarcity is a bottom-up cycle where homeowners' financial incentive is to protect their property value (NIMBYism). They then vote for politicians who enact restrictive building policies, turning personal financial interests into systemic regulatory bottlenecks.

Contrary to the short-term focus of many investment funds, genuine wealth creation in real estate requires a multi-decade time horizon. The significant, compounding growth that builds fortunes typically occurs after the first 10-15 years of ownership, a perspective often lost in 3-5 year fund cycles.

Oppenheim argues that financially, renting is often smarter than buying. He states 90% of his clients would have been better off renting for the past decade, avoiding taxes, commissions, and maintenance costs in a flat market, while gaining valuable mobility.

Austin's falling home values, caused by a massive expansion of housing supply, are a feature, not a bug. This 'demise' makes the city more affordable, attracting young workers and families and securing its future economic vitality, unlike supply-constrained legacy cities.

As New Zealand's investor visa and favorable tax regime gain international attention, real estate experts predict a significant shortage of high-end urban housing. The current supply of 'lock up and leave' luxury apartments in Auckland is insufficient to meet a potential influx of metropolitan-focused high-net-worth individuals.

Homeowners and local governments block new development, creating artificial scarcity that drives up prices, similar to how luxury brands like LVMH restrict supply to increase value. This "LVMH-ing" of housing makes it unaffordable for younger generations and limits economic mobility.