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For businesses with strong, well-understood long-term fundamentals, severe drawdowns (50%+) should not be feared or merely endured. Instead, they represent recurring opportunities to increase a position at a highly attractive price, effectively getting multiple "bites of the apple."
Many investors wrongly equate high conviction with making a large initial investment. A more evolved approach is to start with smaller at-cost positions, allowing a company's performance to earn its eventual large weighting in the portfolio. This mitigates risk and improves decision-making.
Instead of fighting or fearing market downturns, a superior strategy is to consciously "surrender" to their inevitability. This philosophical acceptance frees you from the draining, low-value work of predicting the unpredictable (recessions, crashes) and allows you to focus on owning resilient businesses for the long term.
The best moments to buy are created by widespread fear and bad news, making you instinctively not want to. A great investor isn't someone who is unafraid during these times; they are someone who acts rationally despite the overwhelming emotional pressure to sell or stay on the sidelines.
The path to massive returns requires surviving extreme volatility. David Gardner emphasizes that legendary stocks like Amazon and NVIDIA have repeatedly suffered 50%+ drawdowns. The key to capturing gains is to hold through the pain by focusing on the company's fundamental progress, not market sentiment.
When a fund manager faced a ~50% drawdown, his commitment to earning back capital, rather than becoming defensive or threatening to close, was a key signal. This behavior justified staying invested through the trough, ultimately leading to a 5x return.
During a crisis, avoid the temptation to trade based on predictions of how events will unfold. Instead, use the market volatility to purchase pre-identified, resilient companies at better prices, accelerating your existing strategy rather than creating a reactive new one.
Instead of fearing market downturns, investors should frame them as the inevitable cost—or "tax"—for the privilege of growing wealth. This mindset shift encourages seeing downturns as a buying opportunity ("the market's on sale") rather than a reason to lock in losses by selling.
The common bias of loss aversion doesn't affect investors who have done exhaustive upfront work. Their conviction is based on a clear understanding of an asset's intrinsic value, allowing them to view price drops as opportunities rather than signals of a flawed decision.
Value investors often anchor to their initial purchase price and hesitate to buy more as a stock rises. The VC approach is to add to winners as their thesis is validated, recognizing that a compounding business will likely never be as cheap as the initial entry point again.
Holding a winning stock is psychologically brutal. NVIDIA, one of the best performers ever, lost over 80% of its value in 2008 and 60% in 2022. Enduring these gut-wrenching drops, which are a normal part of the journey, is the price of admission for capturing life-changing gains.