OpenAI is proactively distributing funds for AI literacy and economic opportunity to build goodwill. This isn't just philanthropy; it's a calculated public relations effort to gain regulatory approval from states like California and Delaware for its crucial transition to a for-profit entity, countering the narrative of job disruption.

When lobbying against New York's RAISE Act for AI safety, the industry's own estimate of the compliance burden was surprisingly low. They calculated that a tech giant like Google or Meta would only need to hire one additional full-time employee, undermining the argument that such regulation would be prohibitively expensive.

Broad, high-level statements calling for an AI ban are not intended as draft legislation but as tools to build public consensus. This strategy mirrors past social movements, where achieving widespread moral agreement on a vague principle (e.g., against child pornography) was a necessary precursor to creating detailed, expert-crafted laws.

The US President's move to centralize AI regulation over individual states is likely a response to lobbying from major tech companies. They need a stable, nationwide framework to protect their massive capital expenditures on data centers. A patchwork of state laws creates uncertainty and the risk of being forced into costly relocations.

Contrary to their current stance, major AI labs will pivot to support national-level regulation. The motivation is strategic: a single, predictable federal framework is preferable to navigating an increasingly complex and contradictory patchwork of state-by-state AI laws, which stifles innovation and increases compliance costs.

Leading AI companies allegedly stoke fears of existential risk not for safety, but as a deliberate strategy to achieve regulatory capture. By promoting scary narratives, they advocate for complex pre-approval systems that would create insurmountable barriers for new startups, cementing their own market dominance.

An anti-regulation super PAC's attack ads targeting New York State Assembly member Alex Boris are ironically helping his campaign. The ads raise his name recognition and highlight his popular stance on regulating AI, leading to a surge in donations and volunteers.

Advocating for a single national AI policy is often a strategic move by tech lobbyists and friendly politicians to preempt and invalidate stricter regulations emerging at the state level. Under the guise of creating a unified standard, this approach effectively ensures the actual policy is weak or non-existent, allowing the industry to operate with minimal oversight.

AI policy has evolved from a niche topic into a viable campaign issue for ambitious state-level politicians. The sponsors of both New York's RAISE Act and California's SB 53 are leveraging their legislative victories on AI to run for U.S. Congress, signaling a new era where AI regulation is a key part of a politician's public platform.